On September 27th at 09:00 UTC, 100 Thieves will face off against T1 in a best-of-3 series as part of the VALORANT Champions 2026 Group A. With group seeding on the line, both teams arrive from strong regional showings but with contrasting momentum. We have analyzed the statistics and the current form of the teams to make a prediction for the match outcome. Match details can be found here.
Current form of the teams
100 Thieves enter Champions in outstanding shape. Their overall win rate for the 2026 season sits at 56%, but the trendline is the story: 70% over the last 12 months, 79% across the last 6 months, and a perfect 100% in the last month. They ride a four-match winning streak capped by a 3–2 grand final over LOUD and a clean 2–0 over NRG during the VCT 2026: Americas Stage 2 playoffs, a run that secured 1st place and $100,000. The results list shows convincing series wins against Leviatán and LOUD alongside a lone stumble against Cloud9 early in Stage 2; since then, their form has sharpened considerably. Financially, they lead the scene in momentum as well, ranking first in recent half-year earnings with $700,000, underscoring consistent top finishes.
T1’s arc is solid but a notch below 100 Thieves’ recent surge. Their overall win rate this season is 57%, improving to 64% over the last 12 months, 65% in the past 6 months, and 75% across the last month. They placed 3rd at VCT 2026: Pacific Stage 2, earning $40,000 after an 0–2 lower-bracket sweep through DRX and Gen.G, followed by a 2–0 over VARREL, before falling 1–3 to Global Esports in the lower final. The recent form shows they are capable of high-tempo, low-error series against mid-table opposition, but they have struggled to close against top-10 caliber opponents when pressure peaks. The winstreak counter resets at zero coming into this match, which contrasts with 100 Thieves’ upward momentum.
Match Prediction
Given the current form and historical data, 100 Thieves project as the more stable side across the last 6 months and especially the last month, where their 100% series conversion reflects clean mid-round calling and consistent fragging depth. T1’s improvements through the Pacific lower bracket are notable, and their 65% win rate over the last 6 months suggests they can contest aim duels and punish slow starts; however, their most recent series against Global Esports exposed defensive gaps under late-round pressure that 100 Thieves have been exploiting well in Americas play. With around an 83% pre-match edge to 100 Thieves and T1’s capacity to spike on a favorable map, a competitive three-map set is the likeliest script.
Prediction: 100 Thieves 2:1 T1
VALORANT Champions 2026 takes place from September 23rd to October 18th in China, featuring a prize pool of $2,250,000. You can follow the news, schedule, and results of the tournament via the official tournament page.